the biggest current threat to the government in the polls might lose his seat to Count Binface
Show me the poll that suggests BinFace has a chance in a safe conservative district. Everything I’ve seen is “Farage National Approval Rating” and “National Support/Oppose”.
Nobody is even bothering to poll the actual district, because it is so lopsided.
The polls I referred to are about Reform generally being the biggest threat to Labour. Haven’t seen any polls regarding this by election, but the argument I’ve seen is that the votes for anyone other than Nigel last time outnumbered his votes, so those votes might well go to Count Binface since no other major parties are fielding a candidate. Which seems wishful thinking, but is a possibility.
Overall, there isn’t really a great outcome for Nigel here. He either wins, which isn’t much of a victory given the (lack of) opposition, or he loses, which is devastating for his credibility. Regardless, I still think this is a bigger story than you originally made out.
Also, his resignation that caused this by-election was to distract from the fact that he was being investigated for not declaring a large donation to his election fund.
If he wins, the investigation will continue and may trigger another by-election.
Show me the poll that suggests BinFace has a chance in a safe conservative district. Everything I’ve seen is “Farage National Approval Rating” and “National Support/Oppose”.
Nobody is even bothering to poll the actual district, because it is so lopsided.
The polls I referred to are about Reform generally being the biggest threat to Labour. Haven’t seen any polls regarding this by election, but the argument I’ve seen is that the votes for anyone other than Nigel last time outnumbered his votes, so those votes might well go to Count Binface since no other major parties are fielding a candidate. Which seems wishful thinking, but is a possibility.
Overall, there isn’t really a great outcome for Nigel here. He either wins, which isn’t much of a victory given the (lack of) opposition, or he loses, which is devastating for his credibility. Regardless, I still think this is a bigger story than you originally made out.
Also, his resignation that caused this by-election was to distract from the fact that he was being investigated for not declaring a large donation to his election fund.
If he wins, the investigation will continue and may trigger another by-election.
The brits I know love to laugh too much for binface not to win. I am holding out hope.
Boaty McBoatface: Politics Edition
That one spread abroad too, it won a poll in my town for a new bridge name but the council wouldn’t go through with it:(
Edit: Bridgey McBridgeface