

It felt so weird going into the anime completely blind.
Okay, he’s German. Uh, and he’s in the army. And it’s WW2.
…Are we going to address the elephant in the room?
Nope, he’s just the new bro, here we’re all bound by the power of muscles and cool poses.
Humans are bad at probability, and that’s mostly why they gamble too.
Every wheel draw is supposed to be independent (it’s not totally so because computer “random” is really a pseudo-random algorithm, but close enough). So every time you draw, the odds are 1:4. Previous draws don’t matter.
On an infinitely large number of draws, you’d see a 1/4 success rate. This doesn’t mean you can’t fail a dozen times in a row (the probability of that is (3/4)^12, about 3%… It happens).