• 33 Posts
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Joined 1 year ago
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Cake day: March 14th, 2025

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  • That’s the terrifying part, Trump has no capacity for strategic thinking, no regard for anyone else, and no respect for human life. There are only about 56K people on Greenland, and he would treat them like the Conquistadors treated the natives they encountered, or the settlers treated the Native Americans as they stole their lands. Of course there would be huge backlash from Europe, which would likely involve isolating the U.S. from trade, but I doubt there’d be a hot war against the U.S… I could be wrong though. In any event, Trump is a moron, a horrible person, and it will take the collapse of the U.S. to get rid of him.





  • Just picking an arbitrary date to figure growth isn’t very helpful, for example I could pick 6 months ago and they would be down by 44%.

    Lol. Note this point in my original post, which was directly quoted by you in your response:

    I put everything I owned into a 2x gold ETF back in June 2024

    Note that gold has just broken out, as Russia’s selling is no longer suppressing the price. My model leads me to expect to see gold make a new all time high above $5600/oz before year end, about a 30% rise from where it is at today, and to top $15K/oz before the end of 2027, though the actual peak in this time frame may well be in the $20k-25K/oz range.

    Also, by “shit hit the fan” I meant the economic unwinding of the U.S. and the damage to the world economy coming within in a year. It may take a few more years before WWIII actually gets rolling. I don’t have a good model for forecasting that.



  • Wildberries is a legit military target, as they supply body armor, drone parts, etc. to the Russian military. However, strategically they’re also excellent targets for other reasons. First, they’re bringing the fallout of the war home to everyday Russians, who have been fed a steady diet of propaganda. Imagine the disruption in the U.S. if Iran began blowing up Amazon.com warehouses with impunity. All the small businesses in the Amazon marketplace would be taking hits, and your cheap, freely delivered goods would suddenly become more scarce. The economical centralized online shopping and distribution system is being brought to its knees by Ukraine, and is disrupting the lives of everyday Russians, who are also now having to deal with fuel scarcity. Moreover, Wildberries is highly leveraged, with one of Russia’s biggest bank holding over $10B in loans. If Wildberries goes tits up and leaves the bank holding the bag, that might bring down the bank and cause a cascading financial collapse of the Russian economy. While that may be a longshot, the effort is worthwhile even if it never comes to pass.










  • This is a city of ~25K people, so quite small. Several articles have pointed out that the city, not Flock, bears the costs of the vandalism, so in this instance the city counsel that enabled the city to enter into the contract with Flock to the detriment of its citizens have now burdened the city with a substantial budget item. If the cameras are replaced, you can bet that they will likely be torn down again. At some point there will be a reckoning with voters, and hopefully the idiots that enabled the surveillance state will be voted out.









  • It’s such a great feeling, isn’t it? The most impressive example of this I’ve managed was designing and printing in TPU new tires for my e-skateboard. It took a few iterations before I found the right “no air” design and TPU, as some are harder and less flexible, but in the end I was able to print long-lasting tires that gripped well and were flexible enough to be comfortable.