• ryathal@sh.itjust.works
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    8 months ago

    Michigan is historically republican leaning to a toss up in local elections and democratic leaning in national elections. Trump was the only republican to win a presidential election there in about 40 years or so, both senators have been democrats as well.

    Michigan got fucked hard as the auto companies left the country, and it’s never really recovered. Pro-nafta opinions aren’t popular. Michigan also has a high Arab population, they likely won’t vote Trump, but if they stay home it’s bad for Biden. There’s still a lot of active racist militias in Michigan, there’s also heavily segregated cities.

    Michigan lacks a truly large city to dictate politics at the state level, like Illinois and Chicago. There’s also the occasional issue with being a border state, unpopular federal decisions get used to win votes on both sides.