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I still don’t think she has it. It looks to me like every other candidate is far more likely to have a republican second choice. So when the ranked choice rounds start, her lead is going to evaporate before she ever reaches 50%.
According to the released sample of counted ballots, more Daniel J. Sullivan voters ranked Peltola as their second choice than either Sullivan or Heikes. If that holds true for the rest of the ballots, Peltola could reach 50% when the second-choice votes from those voters are reallocated without needing to reallocate votes for Heikes, which would indeed heavily favor Sullivan.
Yeah, I’ve seen it, and I’ve seen Alaska voting for the past half century. It’s going to be way too close, which is also why it hasn’t been called yet.
