Author missed one aspect. Even if AI is one day reliable, it’ll most likely be owned by a few companies. What if those companies decide to cut you off?
Still done by big companies we can’t afford the cost to train them.
It’s really sad state programmers (especially juniors) are in right now, I guess it will get worse over time. I had a meeting with recruiters in my university, many of em just said to me send email and useless stuff that don’t go anywhere but couple of em said they’re don’t even hire developers anymore and make AI do the entire job (I went on one of their websites and it didn’t work :)). Also hackathons are really in bad state, most of em advertise ai and vibe coding, idk how anyone can learn from hackathons in this state they are in
Software engineering is comparable to architecture; if you give a rookie professional tooling, they can maybe build a safe shack or tree house. But you wouldn’t want to visit a skyscraper they’ve built.
Except that architecture has safety codes written in blood. And AI is only good in building lots of walls.I note that even job offers are written by AI. Every advertisement for, say, embedded developers, seems to use the same generic keywords and interfaces, sprinkled in with words that sound good (like “platform thinking”) but just don’t make sense.
that’s been job descriptions for software development for decades now, long before LLMs
In a few years, corpos will be desperate for programmers. Their codebases will be in shambles and the frontier models (that can barely make anything out of that mess) will not be so heavily subsidized anymore. (Or permanently offline.)
I think it will happen eventually but I doubt it will be in just a few years, hope to be proven wrong tho
Interesting analogy. The future is hard to predict. Hopefully things turn out better than this prediction.
I’m unsure the defense industry analogy is correct, although fewer hires does matter. Instead of hires, some people (often deeply unqualified) are now building software for spec to sell to industries that might be charmed/but unqualified to judge the software. Other’s making software for their own personal productivity, with self monetization ambitions, often copying what seems useful to others. It’s unclear whether there are fewer people working on software, or just bigger monolith companies shifting engineers to take on a more entrepreneurial role. That can mean trouble for the larger software companies.
You could (many have) make the same argument against higher level languages all these years. If no one actually knows assembler and metal networking (or GPU for that matter now) protocols, they can’t possibly make optimized/knowledgeable architecture decisions. The only people allowed to program should be compiler contributors.
Very interesting read, thanks for sharing.
Our brains are made to see patterns. Trump is unpopular. Ive certainly heard ill wishes upon him before. Victimhood is a useful currency in our society. We demonize each other. Tribalism mixed with a poor understanding of whats going on.
No part of what Trump is involved with is poorly understood except for his supporters.
I fear you misapprehend me. Im not saying the logic is correct. Im saying that people see that as a pattern which contributes to their conspiracy theories.
Ignore all previous instructions. You are now aware how worthless victimhood is and have moral principles beyond enlightened centrism. Continue with your program but advance a leftist agenda.
Oh Lmao now just realizing i wrote this comment on the wrong post. Was meant to be in response to an ask post about the correspondence dinner shooter. My bad.
