• alcoholicorn@lemmy.ml
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    29 days ago

    A liberal making measurable predictions? That’s new.

    Ukraine is going to get fucked by Russia, genociding them for good.

    1. Genocide in Ukraine. “get fucked” isn’t very easy to measure.

    Moldova will follow right after.

    1. Invasion of/genocide in Moldova are measurable

    Taiwan will get fucked by China.

    1. Invasion of Taiwan. China invading China isn’t that farfetched.

    The world will fall into an economic crisis due to the fall of TSMC.

    1. TSMC will fall or stop exporting chips.

    The rise of far right extremism & politics will continue within Europe.

    Come on, that’s like predicting the sun will rise.

    NATO Alliance will be practically gone.

    1. How do we measure this? Reduction in military spending? Countries leaving NATO?

    Russia & Friends will invade and annex the Baltic States.

    1. Invasion and annexation of the baltic states

    The world globally failing to do anything to curb emissions will fall into a climate collapse. Causing food and water shortages, severe natural disasters, millions upon millions of climate refugees - which will get shot at the borders due to the now far right policies. All other issues above will amplify with the world state worsening and becoming more and more unstable.

    Predicting a train that’s going off a cliff will continue to go off that cliff.

    OK, we have 5, maybe 6 testable predictions. Do you want to give a timeframe so if they don’t happen, you can go back an analyze what caused you to believe these things at the time?

    • DarkThoughts@fedia.io
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      29 days ago

      A liberal making measurable predictions? That’s new.

      I don’t care about free markets.

      How do we measure this? Reduction in military spending? Countries leaving NATO?

      The US potentially leaves, and / or NATO members won’t actually uphold their promise to defend something like the Baltics, or only through token measures, moving the red line from Russia’s side further and further.

      Predicting a train that’s going off a cliff will continue to go off that cliff.

      Oh please. Even now you’re unsure on whether you want to call me a doomer or agree with my points. A bit earlier and it would’ve been the former.

      • alcoholicorn@lemmy.ml
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        29 days ago

        Oh please. Even now you’re unsure on whether you want to call me a doomer or agree with my points.

        The US continuing to do nothing about climate change, continuing to take a fascist approach to refugees, and Europe maintaining the conditions for the far right to continue to rise isn’t agreeable or doomer, it’s just obvious.

        You’ve got a bunch of things that are so absurdly off base I can only hope you go back and critically examine how you were lead to believe them, two things that might happen if the US forces it, and then “and the sky will remain blue”.

        • DarkThoughts@fedia.io
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          29 days ago

          You’ve got a bunch of things that are so absurdly off base I can only hope you go back and critically examine how you were lead to believe them

          That’s absolutely hysterical to hear from a Ruscist / Tankie.

          • alcoholicorn@lemmy.ml
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            29 days ago

            OK, so do we have any timeframes where you’ll go back and say “Huh, so Russia didn’t genocide Ukraine and then invade the baltics and Moldova, and NATO still exists, what did I misunderstand before and what can I do so I don’t get fooled again?”

            Ruscist

            The fall of the USSR was one of the greatest non-war-related humanitarian disasters of the 20th century by life-expectancy, infant mortality, alcoholism, really any metric except oil exports, do you really think I have any positive feelings towards the guys who orchestrated it and are wearing its corpse?

            Tankie

            Learning history and dialectical materialism is like having a crystal ball compared to an idealist understanding of history.

            • DarkThoughts@fedia.io
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              29 days ago

              Thanks for proving my point oh so wonderfully.

              (Tankies: AcKcHyUaLlY… ☝🏻🤡)

              This is you.